Fudging numbers

NASA tweaks killer asteroid’s trajectory of death

NASA has recalculated the trajectory of asteroid Apophis and concluded that Bruce Willis can stand down from a state of doom-body-busting readiness. … Chesley said: “Updated computational techniques and newly available data indicate the probability of an Earth encounter on April 13, 2036, for Apophis has dropped from one-in-45,000 to about four-in-a million.”

So it was 1:45000 and now it’s 4:1000000. Why didn’t they say 1:250000 ? I know it’s still a remote possibility and that Bruce would be way too old but why use different numbers? That’s what governments do to hide bad news…

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